Section 07 ยท Financial Projections

36-Month Financial Model

Three-phase P&L model, break-even analysis, revenue stacking by vertical, overhead scaling by phase, and cumulative 36-month projections.

$8.95M
Conservative 36-Mo Gross
Base case scenario
$12.56M
Optimistic 36-Mo Gross
Upside scenario
$1.23M
Conservative Net Profit
36-month cumulative
$2.92M
Optimistic Net Profit
36-month cumulative
๐Ÿ“Š
Phase-by-Phase P&L Models
Monthly Run Rate at Peak of Each Phase
Phase 1: Foundation
Months 1โ€“6 ยท 3โ€“5 loans + 2โ€“5 RE deals/mo
Mortgage Revenue (5 loans)$40,000
RE Revenue (4 sides)$20,000
Construction Revenue$5,000
Gross Revenue$65,000
Agent Commissions Paid Out-$12,000
Processing Costs-$3,750
VA Team (2โ€“3 hires)-$3,200
Tech Stack-$850
Marketing-$4,000
Insurance/Compliance/Other-$1,500
Office/Admin-$700
Net Pre-Tax Profit$19,000โ€“$27,000
38โ€“42% Net Margin
Phase 2: Acceleration
Months 7โ€“18 ยท 10โ€“14 loans + 8โ€“12 RE deals/mo
Mortgage Revenue (12 loans)$96,000
RE Revenue (10 sides)$55,000
Construction Revenue$20,000
Gross Revenue$171,000
Agent + LO Commissions-$67,000
In-House Processor-$4,500
VA Team (5 hires)-$5,150
Tech Stack (Team)-$2,000
Marketing + Content-$10,000
Office + Admin Staff-$8,000
Insurance/Compliance-$2,400
Net Pre-Tax Profit$28,000โ€“$59,000
16โ€“35% Net Margin
Phase 3: Scale
Months 19โ€“36 ยท 25โ€“35 loans + 18โ€“25 RE deals/mo
Mortgage Revenue (30 loans)$240,000
RE Revenue (22 sides)$121,000
Construction Revenue$75,000
Media Revenue$10,000
Gross Revenue$446,000
Agent + LO Commissions-$168,000
Processing + TC Staff-$20,000
VA Team + US Admin-$25,000
Tech + Platform-$5,000
Marketing + Full Media Team-$22,000
Office (2 locations)-$8,000
Insurance/Compliance/Other-$8,000
Net Pre-Tax Profit$45,000โ€“$116,000
10โ€“26% Net Margin
๐Ÿ“ˆ
36-Month Cumulative Summary
Conservative vs Optimistic Range
PhaseDurationGross RevenueTotal ExpensesNet ProfitMarginCumulative Net
Phase 1 (Foundation)6 months$234,000โ€“$390,000$120,000โ€“$186,000$114,000โ€“$204,00038โ€“52%$114Kโ€“$204K
Phase 2 (Acceleration)12 months$1,284,000โ€“$2,052,000$1,056,000โ€“$1,476,000$336,000โ€“$708,00016โ€“35%$450Kโ€“$912K
Phase 3 (Scale)18 months$4,860,000โ€“$7,020,000$4,122,000โ€“$5,238,000$780,000โ€“$2,016,00010โ€“26%$1.23Mโ€“$2.92M
Total (36 Months)36 months$8.95Mโ€“$12.56M$7.22Mโ€“$10.03M$1.23Mโ€“$2.92M13.7โ€“23.2%$1.23Mโ€“$2.92M
๐Ÿ”ข
Revenue Per Transaction: The Vertical Stack
Why Integration Changes Everything
Transaction TypeMortgage RevenueRE RevenueConstruction RevenueTotal Per Transactionvs Single Vertical
Buy/Sell (No Mortgage)$0$8,375โ€“$10,000$0$8,375โ€“$10,000Baseline
Buy (With TruLux Mortgage)$8,000โ€“$10,000$8,375โ€“$10,000$0$16,375โ€“$20,0002x
Buy + Mortgage + Construction$8,000โ€“$13,500$8,375โ€“$10,000$40,000โ€“$80,000$56,375โ€“$103,5007โ€“12x
Investor DSCR (Buy + Mortgage)$9,625โ€“$13,500$10,000โ€“$12,500$0$19,625โ€“$26,0002.5x
Relocating Buyer (Sell + Buy + Mortgage)$8,000โ€“$10,000$16,750โ€“$20,000$0$24,750โ€“$30,0003x
๐ŸŽฏ
The Compounding Effect: Pozek explicitly noted that owning mortgage + title is "how do we monetize the same clients as many times as possible." TruLux's model goes further with construction โ€” a client who buys a $350K home, finances through TruLux, and hires TruLux Construction for a $300K renovation represents a $500K+ revenue event from a single relationship. Multiply by the Space Coast's aerospace relocation pipeline and this is the strategy.
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Overhead Breakdown by Phase
Monthly Fixed Cost Structure
Overhead CategoryPhase 1 MonthlyPhase 2 MonthlyPhase 3 MonthlyDriver of Change
Mortgage Tech Stack$350โ€“500$800โ€“1,200$1,500โ€“2,000Adding users + tools
RE Tech Stack (FUB, Dotloop, etc.)$400โ€“600$1,000โ€“1,500$1,800โ€“2,500Agent count
VA Team (Philippines)$2,200โ€“3,500$5,150$5,150โ€“7,000Adding hires
Loan Processing (Outsource โ†’ In-House)$2,000โ€“3,750$4,500โ€“5,500$8,500โ€“12,000Volume + in-house conversion
Media + Content Production$1,400โ€“2,500$8,000โ€“10,000$17,500โ€“22,000Team build-out
Office Space$0โ€“1,500$2,000โ€“3,500$5,000โ€“8,000Expansion to 2 locations
Insurance + E&O + Compliance$500โ€“800$1,000โ€“1,500$2,000โ€“3,000Volume + headcount
Marketing + Paid Ads$2,000โ€“4,000$5,000โ€“8,000$8,000โ€“12,000Shifting toward content organic
Total Fixed Overhead$7,300โ€“$12,000$29,050โ€“$40,000$74,600โ€“$97,000Scales with team
โš–๏ธ
Break-Even Analysis
By Revenue Line
Mortgage Division Break-Even
3โ€“4 Loans/Month
Phase 1 overhead ($7,300) รท avg net mortgage profit ($1,800โ€“$2,400/loan after processing)
Real Estate Break-Even
2โ€“3 Deals/Month
At 50/50 split on $350K home: TruLux retains ~$4,375/side. 2 sides covers Phase 1 RE overhead.
Combined Break-Even
Month 2โ€“3
Combined RE + mortgage. Phase 2 overhead ($29K) requires 4โ€“6 closings + 6โ€“8 loans/month. Achieved mid-Phase 2.